Tannin wrote:
Edward said:
I'm not sure any Australian guides show seasonal distribution, a bit strange really.
I'm not sure that it's possible to show seasonal distribution here, Edward.
(Err ... I know that you know most of this stuff I'm about to write already, but for clarity I'll just write as if you'd never been here.)
There are certainly some, indeed many, species that it's possible to clearly define the summer-winter distribution of. The Siberian waders that arrive and depart every year are obvious examples. Most of the cuckoos and woodswallows, ditto.
Similarly, there are quite a few that tend not to move around too much at all: yellow robins, wrens, magpies, quite a few of the others rarely move outside of a relatively small home range.
But the reality is that a vast number of Australian birds have unpredicatable, varying, or very complex migration patterns. Often these have no real relationship to the calendar. In many (perhaps most) of these cases, we don't actually know what the pattern is; or we have observed some sort of a pattern but there are so many exceptions and variations that we really have to admit that we need a lot more research before we can make any sort of useful statement.
The guides, as a rule, bug out of this thorny problem by saying something really vague like "nomadic and migratory". Translated, this means "they do seem to move in some sort of organised way, but I'm damned if I know what it is".
I think the thing that most northern hemisphere people fail to understand about Australia (and which, regrettably, most white Australians don't understand yet either) is the nature of the climate. Everybody "knows" that Australia is a dry continent. But this is so gross an oversimplification that it would be probably better not to say it at all.
Yes, it
is a dry continent: we get about one seventh of the average rainfall that other continents get (excluding Antarctia), and if we exclude the small tropical fringe on the north and north-east, it's about one 14th of average rainfall.
But
it is not low average rainfall that determines the peculiar biota of this continent. It's a factor, but not as big a factor as you might think. Even the great arid interior is, in the main, much better watered than some other sizeable parts of the planet - notably northern Africa and the Middle East.
Nor is it our old, tired soils - though this is a very significant factor indeed.
The biggest single determinant is the
variability and
unpredictability of the climate. Largely because of the Southern Oscillation (AKA
El Nino) in the Pacific currents, there is very little predictability of rainfall in the major part of the continent, and only a moderate level of predictability even in the south-east and south-west. We talk glibly about having "average rainfall of around 10 inches per anum" but that really means a pattern over the years like, for example:
7, 8, 2, 3, 2, 5, 3, 25, 12, 17, 5, 6, 3, 5, 7
Outside of the coastal fringe, we really need to talk about averages over 5, 10, and 20 years periods. (Even within the coastal fringes, to a fair extent.) It would make a lot more sense to say "Ballarat has 200 inches per decade" (which is about right) than "Ballarat has 20 inches per year" (which, even here in the well-watered south, is often hopelessly wrong). The last few years on our place have been (roughly and from memory) 16, 12, 14, 15, 31. In the interior, the pattern swings wildly - much more so than here, where we still benefit from the moderating influence of sea only 80 or 100 kilometres away.
To summarise so far, yes, Australia is a very dry continent, and it is (in the main) as infertile as it is dry (because of the great age of the continent). But above all, it is
unpredictable. The northern hemisphere concept of "season" as something that comes around in a fixed and generally predictable sequence at a set time doesn't really apply here. At least it applies, but you are never quite sure when and in what way it will apply.
So why, for example, did the marsupials do so well here and die out everywhere else (except South America, where they are only a minor part of the fauna at best), while the placental mammals that took over the rest of the world failed to thrive here and ended up dying out? Doubtless there are many reasons, but one of the primary ones advanced by the people who study these things is that marsupials are so good at dealing with long-term climate fluctuations. By investing very little in the task of producing offspring (where a placental mammal invests a very great deal) marsupials cope much more easily with bad times. (I'm resisting the temptation to say "bad seasons" as that's a northern hemisphere term that doesn't fit: a "bad season" implies (e.g.) poor winter rains, where what I'm talking about is bad periods that last a lot longer than that: seven years of poor rain in row is not uncommon, and as likely as not, that will be followed by massive floods and sometimes two or three years of substantial rain.)
Further, these events are rarely continent-wide. It's commonplace for (e.g) NSW and Queensland to be in the grip of drought while Western Victoria or parts of South Australia are doing it easy. Rain falls where rain falls, and there is a great deal of nomadism.
But within this follow-the-rain nomadism, there is often also some sort of regular, structured movement as well. Sometimes we more-or-less understand what that is, often we are reduced to guesswork.
Additionally, lots of reasonably well-understood species have fairly predictable but complex movement patterns that you couldn't sensibly show on a map. Silvereyes, for example, fly north for winter. But quite a lot of them stay home (even in Tasmania), and the northern-most ones are sedentary. In-between, the Tasmanian ones come to Victoria, the Victorians go to southern NSW, the southern NSW population heads for southern Queensland, and so on. And in WA, it's different again!
Blossom nomads, such as many of the honeyeaters, follow the richest eucalypt flowers and - as any beekeeper can tell you - the eucalypts don't simply have good nectar-flow years when it rains more than normal, they follow some more subtle rules of their own.
Or what about the Square-tailed Kite? It seems to breed more-or-less regularly during the cooler months in the south of the continent, but no-one seems to quite know what happens after that. I've just been reading up on this species, and after reading everything I could lay my hands on, the most I can say about its seasonal movements is "don't know".
Anyway, my guess is that people looked at the idea of esasonal mapping for a bird guide and, after a little thought, threw up their hands and said "it's too hard, let's do something else".