Human activity can also change bird movements - the establishment of irrigation and water-supply ponds and small dams attracts long-staying migrants, an example (from the 1980s onwards) being the spread of mostly Indian species to NW Pakistan and through the Khyber into Afghanistan; observations and records are from ponds with surrounding vegetation in areas where previously they did not exist; generally in earlier decades, the monsoon was seemingly more regular.
The corollary in the case of Sahel residents might be that small ponds created north of the Niger might attract birds driven out by widespread drought elsewhere; once these ponds dry up, perhaps early in the year, birds would be forced to move, but in any direction. Those headed north could well make it to North Africa.
MJB