jurek
Well-known member
Bird migration in every spot is very uneven. Most days are weak, but during a season there are 2-3 periods of 1-3 days when migration is very intensive. I found this for raptors along the coast in Poland, seabirds along the coast of the Netherlands, rarities in Heligoland, and others noticed it on migration hotspots along the British coast. It can be frustrating, because, if you are traveling to a famous migration hotspot for a short time, you are most likely to miss these few special days.
I wonder if anybody plotted the distribution of bird migration over a season? How many individuals pass over days? Surely, it is not a normal distribution with large standard deviation (slowly tapering from common to rare) but more extreme. Something like 90% of birds pass in 10% of days.
Then - is it possible to predict, or maybe train a AI model, when will be a good day for migration watching or a rarity fall? I also feel this can be important for reducing bird deaths on wind turbines, too.
Any field observations? Any AI savvy Birdforum member who can spare some time from the job?
I wonder if anybody plotted the distribution of bird migration over a season? How many individuals pass over days? Surely, it is not a normal distribution with large standard deviation (slowly tapering from common to rare) but more extreme. Something like 90% of birds pass in 10% of days.
Then - is it possible to predict, or maybe train a AI model, when will be a good day for migration watching or a rarity fall? I also feel this can be important for reducing bird deaths on wind turbines, too.
Any field observations? Any AI savvy Birdforum member who can spare some time from the job?
Both Scilly and Shetland repay treatment as campaigns over years, not quick hits, and Ouessant is unlikely to be different.