Join for FREE
It only takes a minute!
Zeiss - Always on the lookout for something special – Shop now

Welcome to BirdForum.
BirdForum is the net's largest birding community, dedicated to wild birds and birding, and is absolutely FREE! You are most welcome to register for an account, which allows you to take part in lively discussions in the forum, post your pictures in the gallery and more.

Birds and Weather - 2018

Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old Thursday 6th September 2018, 14:18   #51
Britseye
Registered User

 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: Isles of Scilly
Posts: 569
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gastronaut View Post
Come on people, stick your necks out. What is going to show up where this weekend?

So my predictions are Booted Warbler on Shetland, Arctic Warbler on Scilly,
That's what you call sticking your neck out where you come from, is it? Ooooh very bold. It'll never happen.

Now if you'd said Thick-billed Warbler Dorset, or Essex...
Britseye is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Thursday 6th September 2018, 14:31   #52
Phil Andrews
It's only Rock and Roller but I like it
 
Phil Andrews's Avatar

 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Royal Sutton Coldfield
Posts: 15,274
Quote:
Originally Posted by sylvia staffs View Post
I’m under 50 and don’t need Yellow Breasted Bunting
Seriously? (Your age, not your list)
__________________
Upton Warren Life List: 197 (latest: Glossy Ibis)
British Life List: 488 (latest: Stejneger's Stonechat)
Twitter: @pmandrews1973
Phil Andrews is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Thursday 6th September 2018, 16:12   #53
Gastronaut
_______________
 
Gastronaut's Avatar

 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Darkest Lizard
Posts: 882
Quote:
Originally Posted by Britseye View Post
That's what you call sticking your neck out where you come from, is it? Ooooh very bold. It'll never happen.

Now if you'd said Thick-billed Warbler Dorset, or Essex...
Don't see you offering any prediction for this weekend

I was going to boldly say the Arctic Warbler will be in Cornwall, where it would be only the 2nd in 15 years or so, but I know I will spend all weekend searching in vain for one only to hear one has turned up in the Parsonage - again.
If you think bold is in order how about Black Lark on Shetland (Booted Warb just the carrier species).
Gastronaut is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Thursday 6th September 2018, 16:48   #54
Britseye
Registered User

 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: Isles of Scilly
Posts: 569
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gastronaut View Post
Don't see you offering any prediction for this weekend
Well if you're going to hold a gun to my head...low pressure and rain moving out of Scandinavia causing birds not to take off...high pressure over the south-west causing birds to keep going...I'd say nothing much! So I'm going to predict a Buff-breasted Sandpiper somewhere in the UK this weekend. How risque is that?

But Thick-billed Warbler Dorset or Essex remains my wild card entry.
Britseye is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Thursday 6th September 2018, 19:17   #55
Farnboro John
Registered User

 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Farnborough
Posts: 12,731
Quote:
Originally Posted by sylvia staffs View Post
I’m under 50 and don’t need Yellow Breasted Bunting
That must have been either at Portland or the washed-out individual on Scilly, then.

John
Farnboro John is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Thursday 6th September 2018, 19:49   #56
knotsbirder
Registered User

 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Nottingham
Posts: 1,009
Quote:
Originally Posted by sylvia staffs View Post
I’m under 50 and don’t need Yellow Breasted Bunting
I'm under 23 and don't need Yellow-breasted Bunting!

Sam
__________________
These are my personal views and do not represent any organisation that I am associated with
knotsbirder is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Thursday 6th September 2018, 20:23   #57
jogresh
Registered nutjob
 
jogresh's Avatar

 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Wales
Posts: 769
Quote:
Originally Posted by Farnboro John View Post
That must have been either at Portland or the washed-out individual on Scilly, then.

John
I'm 47 and its on my Spurn list.. (btw is YBB a New Hat Rare?). Anyway, me and a mate were in the pub last night discussing what the Migfest will produce, I went for E Olly. :-)
__________________
Redwoods speak to me,
say it plain:
"the Human name
doesn't mean shit to a tree." Jefferson Airplane, Eskimo Blue Day.
jogresh is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Thursday 6th September 2018, 20:40   #58
lewis20126
Registered User
 
lewis20126's Avatar

 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: UK
Posts: 9,329
Hurricane / Storm something

Magicseaweed for next Weds - may be a longer run somewhere.

cheers, alan
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	storm.jpg
Views:	123
Size:	125.6 KB
ID:	673437  
lewis20126 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Friday 7th September 2018, 13:28   #59
The Aardvark
Registered User

 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Rutland
Posts: 18
If there was a Thick-billed Warbler in Essex this weekend you'd never hear about it for months - Northern Mockingbird anyone?
The Aardvark is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Friday 7th September 2018, 15:35   #60
crabplover
Registered User
 
crabplover's Avatar

 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: formerly Essex
Posts: 381
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Aardvark View Post
If there was a Thick-billed Warbler in Essex this weekend you'd never hear about it for months - Northern Mockingbird anyone?
Depends if it turns up on a private island again and the land owner states no more than 10 people.
Plenty of other good rares turned up in accessible areas in the county where info has got out quickly. Get over it !
crabplover is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Friday 7th September 2018, 21:45   #61
Gastronaut
_______________
 
Gastronaut's Avatar

 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Darkest Lizard
Posts: 882
Seems the only thing we can predict with any certainty is that the weather won't be as forecast.
Gastronaut is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Saturday 8th September 2018, 11:18   #62
John Watson
Registered User

 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Cheshire
Posts: 282
The tropical cyclone I mentioned earlier is now heading WNW below Bermuda towards Carolina, despite NHC's earlier forecasts. It'll be a biggie at Cat 4, but could be even stronger

I mention this because it'll eventually be caught up in the usual SW-NE flow & sweep up the East Coast

This has been a very unpredictable storm; other hurricane development has been hindered (so far) by unusual mid-level winds. That, after the exceptionally hot & dry weather in the N hemisphere this year. Is this a good moment to suggest that Climate Change is starting to be more noticeable ?
John Watson is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Saturday 8th September 2018, 11:20   #63
peterbrash
Registered User

 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Liverpool
Posts: 376
What looks (to me) like an interesting feature that arrives as a low on Monday into Tuesday. Seems to start as a little disturbance off New York State this weekend and then starts to form a low after passing Nova Scotia. Warm front looks good for arrivals in Ireland to Hebrides.

Predictions, there won’t be a northern mockingbird in Essex or anywhere else for that matter. Maybe an American redstart to leave everybody handwringing over the unjustness of the world.
__________________
‘You can’t call a chap the World’s greatest authority on the yellow-billed cuckoo without rousing a certain disposition towards chumminess in him’. P.G. Wodehouse.
peterbrash is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Saturday 8th September 2018, 14:43   #64
John Watson
Registered User

 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Cheshire
Posts: 282
Seems like a good call, though the Low isn't quite as deep & fast as the best ones. Should throw some waders this way at least
John Watson is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Saturday 8th September 2018, 21:54   #65
sylvia staffs
Filthy tick hungary Twitcher
 
sylvia staffs's Avatar

 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Stoke-on-Trent Staffs
Posts: 862
Quote:
Originally Posted by Farnboro John View Post
That must have been either at Portland or the washed-out individual on Scilly, then.

John
Holme September 92
__________________
Sylvia
sylvia staffs is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Saturday 8th September 2018, 23:07   #66
Farnboro John
Registered User

 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Farnborough
Posts: 12,731
Quote:
Originally Posted by sylvia staffs View Post
Holme September 92
Ah! A day or so after I ticked it on the Farne Islands. I remember. (I remember thinking I hadn't needed to go that far, but twitching doesn't work like that.....)

John
Farnboro John is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Sunday 9th September 2018, 01:51   #67
jogresh
Registered nutjob
 
jogresh's Avatar

 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Wales
Posts: 769
With the first Yellow Broweds already arriving, i need to hit our west coast headland sharpish! :-)
__________________
Redwoods speak to me,
say it plain:
"the Human name
doesn't mean shit to a tree." Jefferson Airplane, Eskimo Blue Day.

Last edited by jogresh : Sunday 9th September 2018 at 02:58.
jogresh is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Sunday 9th September 2018, 12:30   #68
JWN Andrewes
Poor Judge of Pasta.
 
JWN Andrewes's Avatar

 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Flintshire, UK
Posts: 4,079
Quote:
Originally Posted by sylvia staffs View Post
Holme September 92
Presumably the day before I was there....
__________________
Last Lifer - (2318) Western Olivaceous Warbler.
Last UK - (455) Grey Catbird.
Last Garden - (93) Garden Warbler.
JWN Andrewes is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Sunday 9th September 2018, 18:05   #69
peterbrash
Registered User

 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Liverpool
Posts: 376
Quote:
Originally Posted by peterbrash View Post
What looks (to me) like an interesting feature that arrives as a low on Monday into Tuesday. Seems to start as a little disturbance off New York State this weekend and then starts to form a low after passing Nova Scotia. Warm front looks good for arrivals in Ireland to Hebrides.

Predictions, there won’t be a northern mockingbird in Essex or anywhere else for that matter. Maybe an American redstart to leave everybody handwringing over the unjustness of the world.
South west Ireland definitely looks to be in the ‘sweet spot’ of the warm front on Monday. There’s a connection between Britain and Ireland and North America with some troughs going through on Tuesday/Wednesday. Polish your optics west coasters.
__________________
‘You can’t call a chap the World’s greatest authority on the yellow-billed cuckoo without rousing a certain disposition towards chumminess in him’. P.G. Wodehouse.
peterbrash is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Monday 10th September 2018, 19:52   #70
lewis20126
Registered User
 
lewis20126's Avatar

 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: UK
Posts: 9,329
Storm 2

Another storm forming, seemingly on an unusual track heading north, screen shot for sun 16th

The last one dies on the east coast

cheers, a
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	storm2.jpg
Views:	70
Size:	56.9 KB
ID:	673823  
lewis20126 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Tuesday 11th September 2018, 06:13   #71
mb1848
Registered User

 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Santa Maria, California USA
Posts: 1,888
Quote:
The tropical cyclone I mentioned earlier is now heading WNW below Bermuda towards Carolina, despite NHC's earlier forecasts. It'll be a biggie at Cat 4, but could be even stronger.
I mention this because it'll eventually be caught up in the usual SW-NE flow & sweep up the East Coast
Weather people here are saying it is just like Hurricane Hugo 9/10/89-9/23/89. It plowed inland and "rained itself out". Never made a sweep up the coast.
https://www.carolinabirdclub.org/cha.../v54n4hugo.pdf .
__________________
Mark Brown, Esq.
mb1848 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Tuesday 11th September 2018, 08:13   #72
John Watson
Registered User

 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Cheshire
Posts: 282
Looks like you're right about Florence, Mark. Will hit the coast as Cat 4/5 & continues inland diminishing rapidly & depositing up to 15 inches of rain. Wouldn't want to be there

Re "Storm 2" - yes there's a sub-tropical storm developing, also shown on the Met's SPC. Intensity & direction tricky to guess at the moment, but it could well hit us Mon-Tue

Also of interest is "Helene" - currently Cat 2 just West of Cape Verde & forecast to head NW then N then NE approx over the Azores then towards Europe (as Tropical Storm). Not sure how it'll interact with "Storm 2" when they get close

Given that there's already a westerly airflow, the next couple of weeks could be quite humid, wet & windy
John Watson is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Tuesday 11th September 2018, 13:00   #73
Andy1979
Registered User

 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Medway, Kent
Posts: 1,885
BH Cowbird reported by non birder on Shetland Mainland... Per RBA...
Andy1979 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Tuesday 11th September 2018, 13:06   #74
VATH 82
Registered User

 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Bedfordshire, Uk
Posts: 362
Quote:
Originally Posted by Andy1979 View Post
BH Cowbird reported by non birder on Shetland Mainland... Per RBA...
On 8th September!
VATH 82 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old Tuesday 11th September 2018, 14:13   #75
Mike C
Emeritus President at Burnage Rugby Club
 
Mike C's Avatar

 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Stockport
Posts: 766
Quote:
Originally Posted by Andy1979 View Post
BH Cowbird reported by non birder on Shetland Mainland... Per RBA...
a "possible" described by a non-birder
Mike C is offline  
Reply With Quote
Advertisement
Reply


Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is Off
HTML code is Off

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Anyone got any new birds because of the inclement weather? (uk) mary99 Garden Birds, Bird Feeding & Nestboxes 4 Sunday 20th January 2013 21:14
Odd weather for birds in 2011 Daniel Martin Birds & Birding 1 Saturday 31st December 2011 20:15
Birds in Bad Weather Jamzky Birds & Birding 3 Friday 11th January 2008 11:42
Bad Weather And Birds. Donald Talbott Birds & Birding 2 Sunday 1st January 2006 19:11
This Weather, How much does it effect our Birds? Talon 1 Birds & Birding 4 Wednesday 27th July 2005 17:57

{googleads}

Fatbirder's Top 1000 Birding Websites

Help support BirdForum

Page generated in 0.24273205 seconds with 36 queries
All times are GMT. The time now is 01:15.