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Birds and Weather - 2018

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Old Tuesday 18th September 2018, 21:50   #101
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Dartboard update

Not sure MSW have re-run their model much, but still looking hopeful.

Not for the Lizard tho..

cheers, a
Doesn't look good, so will probably be great. These birds are just taking the piss
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Old Wednesday 19th September 2018, 04:43   #102
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Could there even be a bit of Leach's Petrel action in the river Mersey mouth on Sunday?
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Old Wednesday 19th September 2018, 07:13   #103
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Well, you need persistent W to NW winds for that, and a decent high tide

Current forecast give Southerlies veering NW late in the day. Monday morning might be better
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Old Wednesday 19th September 2018, 08:06   #104
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Leach's will be off Fylde in good numbers though
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Old Wednesday 19th September 2018, 08:25   #105
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Hadn't looked at the wind forecast I was just going off the pressure charts.
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Old Wednesday 19th September 2018, 20:13   #106
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Leach's will be off Fylde in good numbers though
Probably not, almost all W or NW in the forecast at present, need some decent SW for Leach's here (hence why we didn't get any today, the wind was almost southerly for the majority of the day). Tomorrow may produce a few early doors but that's about it
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Old Wednesday 19th September 2018, 20:30   #107
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Just in case anyone's forgotten, it is guaranteed American passerines will be arriving in south-west UK and southern Ireland over the course of the next seventy-two hours. Whether they will be found or not, is a different matter, but they will be here. The atmosphere over Scilly tonight as a series of fronts joining hands all the way across the Atlantic moves in over us, is electric. Russ Abbott would have approved: he always liked a nice atmosphere, or so he used to say.
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Old Wednesday 19th September 2018, 20:37   #108
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Old Wednesday 19th September 2018, 20:39   #109
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Just in case anyone's forgotten, it is guaranteed American passerines will be arriving in south-west UK and southern Ireland over the course of the next seventy-two hours. Whether they will be found or not, is a different matter, but they will be here. The atmosphere over Scilly tonight as a series of fronts joining hands all the way across the Atlantic moves in over us, is electric. Russ Abbott would have approved: he always liked a nice atmosphere, or so he used to say.
I'm hoping for Sabs Gull! You can keep your gaudy Yank Warblers

cheers, a
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 12:25   #110
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Seawatch downgraded

Usual story - a total shambles of a prediction.

cheers, alan
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 12:26   #111
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..but a brief spell of easterlies for the east coast..

cheers, a
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 12:40   #112
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Whole thing looks decidedly poor for the remainder of Sept, couple of very brief calm spells along the east as Alan suggests, but besides that doesn't look up to much from any direction. A great 'on this day' on RBA tho, Hooded, Tennessee, Chestnut-sided and Yellow-throated Vireo!
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 12:50   #113
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In the middle of these westerlies I find that my next proper birding jaunt, this weekend, is in....Derbs/Notts, for convenience of both parties (it is mainly an overdue meeting of friends).

Currently I am not writing off finding something exciting. Some birds HATE the seaside, surely?
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 13:09   #114
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I'll put in a bold prediction of a Pechora on Foula over the weekend. Looks like north-westerlies originating from the White Sea area.
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 14:41   #115
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Big movement of Great Shears this morning off Cornwall. I counted 658 off Lizard, 401 in first hour, but didn't get down till after school run. Report of 1500+ from PG including a feeding flock of 250.

Not a lot of anything else though. Often the way with these big counts of large shear
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 19:54   #116
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Just in case anyone's forgotten, it is guaranteed American passerines will be arriving in south-west UK and southern Ireland over the course of the next seventy-two hours. Whether they will be found or not, is a different matter, but they will be here. The atmosphere over Scilly tonight as a series of fronts joining hands all the way across the Atlantic moves in over us, is electric. Russ Abbott would have approved: he always liked a nice atmosphere, or so he used to say.
Had some vague news of a REV in Cornwall this evening, "just before the rain arrived". Looks like Graham is right on the money with this one.
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 20:04   #117
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Had some vague news of a REV in Cornwall this evening, "just before the rain arrived". Looks like Graham is right on the money with this one.
We need a big ticket Warbler - great time for Chestnut-sided and Tennessee - as Dan notes above

cheers, a
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 20:22   #118
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Had some vague news of a REV in Cornwall this evening, "just before the rain arrived". Looks like Graham is right on the money with this one.
Presumably Nanjizal as mentioned by Kester Wilson
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 20:37   #119
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Presumably Nanjizal as mentioned by Kester Wilson
Correct.

Absolutely filthy weather over Scilly today and got a bit distracted by Great Shears moving way out. Still more first-class arrival weather in the post Saturday morning. Tomorrow not so wet but 30mph westerlies won't make things any easier. Thankfully next week is sunnier with lighter winds (from south-east). You may have to wait till Mon/Tues to hear from us.
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Old Thursday 20th September 2018, 20:54   #120
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Presumably Nanjizal as mentioned by Kester Wilson
yes, that's the one
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Old Friday 21st September 2018, 04:35   #121
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Big movement of Great Shears this morning off Cornwall. I counted 658 off Lizard, 401 in first hour, but didn't get down till after school run. Report of 1500+ from PG including a feeding flock of 250.

Not a lot of anything else though. Often the way with these big counts of large shear
Talk of a Madeiran Petrel?

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Old Friday 21st September 2018, 17:12   #122
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Storm gone

Compare this 'low' across the UK with that predicted earlier in the week! The models are laughable.

cheers, a
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Old Friday 21st September 2018, 18:34   #123
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Now on holiday for 9 days, any good weather for cast for the east coast,please
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Old Friday 21st September 2018, 20:31   #124
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Now on holiday for 9 days, any good weather for cast for the east coast,please
East coast of where? (It's a global forum after all...
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Old Friday 21st September 2018, 20:47   #125
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