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2016 - World Yearlist Record Attempt (1 Viewer)

D

DanielDoer

Well-known member
Arjan is now at 6.701:
http://world.observation.org/arjan.php

And some slow progress with just seven additional species on the last day in New Mexico (as Paul predicted were not many possibles left). Nontheless with 35 species in NM he is a little above the prediction for the state!

And apart of Arjans epic run: There is an interesting turning point in the even more epic challenge in ABA region: Olaf Danielsson visited Hawaii in beginning of November in silence and last week for a second time. It was planned by him long before the ABA decided to include Hawaii to their region, just to set a new record for a Big Year in the USA: and that was impressively successful with 824 (+ 3 provisional) species so far in 2016! That could make it easier for Olaf that he will most probably just be second best for the old ABA region in 2016 as the Australian opponent of him is in lead of a few species that he will not get in the remaining days (probably because he missed 1-2 species in the US lower 48 on the first mission to Hawaii!!).

Edit: and here is a link to the latest blog entry of Olaf:
http://olafsbigyear.blogspot.de/2016/12/paradise-revisted.html?m=1
 
Last edited:
Paul Chapman

Paul Chapman

Well-known member
DanielDoer said:
Arjan is now at 6.701:
http://world.observation.org/arjan.php

And some slow progress with just seven additional species on the last day in New Mexico (as Paul predicted were not many possibles left). Nontheless with 35 species in NM he is a little above the prediction for the state!
Click to expand...

I think from the date of the prediction Florida, Minnesota & New Mexico have added 86 against the prediction of 90. I went for 40 for California but I anticipate both the California and Japan predictions will need revisiting as they depended on some assumptions on what he would have seen to date. Hopefully he will beat both. I'll look tonight.

All the best
 
Paul Chapman

Paul Chapman

Well-known member
I'm sticking with 40 for California:-
Anna's Hummingbird 38.64272
California Towhee 27.71024
Golden-crowned Sparrow 24.43975
California Gull 18.92724
Western Gull 18.38857
Nuttall's Woodpecker 17.52337
Oak Titmouse 15.34894
Fox Sparrow 11.91934
Chestnut-backed Chickadee 11.50443
Wrentit 8.91403
Surf Scoter 7.8159
Glaucous-winged Gull 7.12228
Allen's Hummingbird 6.90494
California Thrasher 4.94369
Varied Thrush 4.87922
Brandt's Cormorant 4.75027
Red-breasted Sapsucker 4.4123
Purple Finch 4.2168
Greater Scaup 3.78524
Pacific Loon 3.41919
Pelagic Cormorant 3.3932
White-throated Swift 3.30585
Black Turnstone 3.24865
Yellow-billed Magpie 2.83373
Phainopepla 2.78797
Black Oystercatcher 2.65591
Pacific Wren 2.00181
Surfbird 1.27388
Tricolored Blackbird 1.26244
Costa's Hummingbird 1.20213
California Gnatcatcher 0.80904
Ridgway's Rail 0.78409
Northern Fulmar 0.74769
Abert's Towhee 0.65826
Rhinoceros Auklet 0.6437
Black-tailed Gnatcatcher 0.50643
Black Scoter 0.46796
Wandering Tattler 0.42636
Cassin's Auklet 0.42116
Ancient Murrelet 0.40556
White-headed Woodpecker 0.38164
Bell's Sparrow 0.34109
Mountain Plover 0.33069
Northern Saw-whet Owl 0.28701
Black-legged Kittiwake 0.27453
Marbled Murrelet 0.24958
Cassin's Finch 0.2475
Harris's Sparrow 0.21422
Lawrence's Goldfinch 0.20694
Mountain Quail 0.1747
Harlequin Duck 0.17262
Le Conte's Thrasher 0.16326
Lapland Longspur 0.15703
Rock Sandpiper 0.12479
Nelson's Sparrow 0.12167
Pink-footed Shearwater 0.10607
Island Scrub-Jay 0.09567
Trumpeter Swan 0.08319
Le Conte's Sparrow 0.07695
Spotted Owl 0.06967
Yellow-footed Gull 0.06655
Pigeon Guillemot 0.05927
McCown's Longspur 0.05407
Black-footed Albatross 0.04992
Laysan Albatross 0.04472
Field Sparrow 0.0416
American Tree Sparrow 0.04056
Common Poorwill 0.03744
Winter Wren 0.03536
King Eider 0.03224
Scripps's Murrelet 0.01664
Fork-tailed Storm-Petrel 0.0156
Dickcissel 0.01352
Greater Sage-Grouse 0.00832
Sooty Grouse 0.00832
Tufted Puffin 0.00832
Ashy Storm-Petrel 0.00728
Yellow-billed Loon 0.00624
Yellow Rail 0.00624
Gilded Flicker 0.00624
Emperor Goose 0.0052
Horned Puffin 0.00416
Bohemian Waxwing 0.00312
Smith's Longspur 0.00312
Iceland Gull 0.00208
Great Gray Owl 0.00208
Bendire's Thrasher 0.00104
Thick-billed Murre 0.00104
South Polar Skua 0.00104
Mottled Petrel 0.00104
Snowy Owl 0
Gyrfalcon 0
Gray Vireo 0
Parakeet Auklet 0

All the best
 
Paul Chapman

Paul Chapman

Well-known member
So now my prediction has slightly lowered (remembering James' advice) - 6,701 plus 40, 60, 40 & 39 = 6,880. Let it go Andy - it will be a magnificent result!

All the best
 
Nohatch

Nohatch

Mad scientist
Paul Chapman said:
So now my prediction has slightly lowered (remembering James' advice) - 6,701 plus 40, 60, 40 & 39 = 6,880. Let it go Andy - it will be a magnificent result!

All the best
Click to expand...

I guess you're right Paul - much as I wanted him to reach the big 7K I think that ship has sailed now. Still, as you say a magnificent result and I stand in awe of both Arjan and Noah's achievements!

As an aside, based on my own (limited) experience of winter birding in California I think he may do slightly better than 40 you predict before he heads back to Asia.

Joost
 
G

George Kappus

Member
Paul Chapman said:
I'm sticking with 40 for California:-
Anna's Hummingbird 38.64272
California Towhee 27.71024
Golden-crowned Sparrow 24.43975
California Gull 18.92724
Western Gull 18.38857
Nuttall's Woodpecker 17.52337
Oak Titmouse 15.34894
Fox Sparrow 11.91934
Chestnut-backed Chickadee 11.50443
Wrentit 8.91403
Surf Scoter 7.8159
Glaucous-winged Gull 7.12228
Allen's Hummingbird 6.90494
California Thrasher 4.94369
Varied Thrush 4.87922
Brandt's Cormorant 4.75027
Red-breasted Sapsucker 4.4123
Purple Finch 4.2168
Greater Scaup 3.78524
Pacific Loon 3.41919
Pelagic Cormorant 3.3932
White-throated Swift 3.30585
Black Turnstone 3.24865
Yellow-billed Magpie 2.83373
Phainopepla 2.78797
Black Oystercatcher 2.65591
Pacific Wren 2.00181
Surfbird 1.27388
Tricolored Blackbird 1.26244
Costa's Hummingbird 1.20213
California Gnatcatcher 0.80904
Ridgway's Rail 0.78409
Northern Fulmar 0.74769
Abert's Towhee 0.65826
Rhinoceros Auklet 0.6437
Black-tailed Gnatcatcher 0.50643
Black Scoter 0.46796
Wandering Tattler 0.42636
Cassin's Auklet 0.42116
Ancient Murrelet 0.40556
White-headed Woodpecker 0.38164
Bell's Sparrow 0.34109
Mountain Plover 0.33069
Northern Saw-whet Owl 0.28701
Black-legged Kittiwake 0.27453
Marbled Murrelet 0.24958
Cassin's Finch 0.2475
Harris's Sparrow 0.21422
Lawrence's Goldfinch 0.20694
Mountain Quail 0.1747
Harlequin Duck 0.17262
Le Conte's Thrasher 0.16326
Lapland Longspur 0.15703
Rock Sandpiper 0.12479
Nelson's Sparrow 0.12167
Pink-footed Shearwater 0.10607
Island Scrub-Jay 0.09567
Trumpeter Swan 0.08319
Le Conte's Sparrow 0.07695
Spotted Owl 0.06967
Yellow-footed Gull 0.06655
Pigeon Guillemot 0.05927
McCown's Longspur 0.05407
Black-footed Albatross 0.04992
Laysan Albatross 0.04472
Field Sparrow 0.0416
American Tree Sparrow 0.04056
Common Poorwill 0.03744
Winter Wren 0.03536
King Eider 0.03224
Scripps's Murrelet 0.01664
Fork-tailed Storm-Petrel 0.0156
Dickcissel 0.01352
Greater Sage-Grouse 0.00832
Sooty Grouse 0.00832
Tufted Puffin 0.00832
Ashy Storm-Petrel 0.00728
Yellow-billed Loon 0.00624
Yellow Rail 0.00624
Gilded Flicker 0.00624
Emperor Goose 0.0052
Horned Puffin 0.00416
Bohemian Waxwing 0.00312
Smith's Longspur 0.00312
Iceland Gull 0.00208
Great Gray Owl 0.00208
Bendire's Thrasher 0.00104
Thick-billed Murre 0.00104
South Polar Skua 0.00104
Mottled Petrel 0.00104
Snowy Owl 0
Gyrfalcon 0
Gray Vireo 0
Parakeet Auklet 0

All the best
Click to expand...

He's off and running in California, with more than 10 before 9:00 this morning (all on the San Diego County coast) according to Ebird. (I presume he's still traveling with Ethan Kistler.)
 
Paul Chapman

Paul Chapman

Well-known member
Indeed. Excellent start. A few splits in there that were not on my possibles. Are Tundra Swan and Black Brant a bit of Dutch taxonomy creeping in that need to be deleted or are they splits on the taxonomy that Arjan is using?

All the best
 
Paul Chapman

Paul Chapman

Well-known member
It looks like the Tundra Swan and Black Brant have been pruned. Still a reasonable number of possibles for California but realistic targets are definitely eroded:-
Golden-crowned Sparrow 24.43975
Nuttall's Woodpecker 17.52337
Fox Sparrow 11.91934
Chestnut-backed Chickadee 11.50443
Varied Thrush 4.87922
Red-breasted Sapsucker 4.4123
Purple Finch 4.2168
Greater Scaup 3.78524
White-throated Swift 3.30585
Yellow-billed Magpie 2.83373
Phainopepla 2.78797
Pacific Wren 2.00181
Costa's Hummingbird 1.20213
Abert's Towhee 0.65826
Rhinoceros Auklet 0.6437
Black-tailed Gnatcatcher 0.50643
Black Scoter 0.46796
Cassin's Auklet 0.42116
Ancient Murrelet 0.40556
White-headed Woodpecker 0.38164
Mountain Plover 0.33069
Northern Saw-whet Owl 0.28701
Black-legged Kittiwake 0.27453
Marbled Murrelet 0.24958
Cassin's Finch 0.2475
Harris's Sparrow 0.21422
Lawrence's Goldfinch 0.20694
Mountain Quail 0.1747
Harlequin Duck 0.17262
Le Conte's Thrasher 0.16326
Lapland Longspur 0.15703
Rock Sandpiper 0.12479
Nelson's Sparrow 0.12167
Pink-footed Shearwater 0.10607
Island Scrub-Jay 0.09567
Trumpeter Swan 0.08319
Le Conte's Sparrow 0.07695
Spotted Owl 0.06967
Yellow-footed Gull 0.06655
Pigeon Guillemot 0.05927
McCown's Longspur 0.05407
Black-footed Albatross 0.04992
Laysan Albatross 0.04472
Field Sparrow 0.0416
American Tree Sparrow 0.04056
Common Poorwill 0.03744
Winter Wren 0.03536
King Eider 0.03224
Scripps's Murrelet 0.01664
Fork-tailed Storm-Petrel 0.0156
Dickcissel 0.01352
Greater Sage-Grouse 0.00832
Sooty Grouse 0.00832
Tufted Puffin 0.00832
Ashy Storm-Petrel 0.00728
Yellow-billed Loon 0.00624
Yellow Rail 0.00624
Gilded Flicker 0.00624
Emperor Goose 0.0052
Horned Puffin 0.00416
Bohemian Waxwing 0.00312
Smith's Longspur 0.00312
Iceland Gull 0.00208
Great Gray Owl 0.00208
Bendire's Thrasher 0.00104
Thick-billed Murre 0.00104
South Polar Skua 0.00104
Mottled Petrel 0.00104
Snowy Owl 0
Gyrfalcon 0
Gray Vireo 0
Parakeet Auklet 0

All the best
 
V

Vincent van der Spek

Well-known member
DanielDoer said:
These are just only "real Dutch species" as somebody wrote in a birding ironic commentary in Limicola some time ago... :) :)
Click to expand...

It's amazing that birders with the most progressive and the most conservative lists are actually neighbours, Daniel! I always learnt that the truth is usually somewhere in between. 8-P
(quite a few of the past splits are now widely adopted)

Back to business: Arjan just phoned me during his lunch break. They had 7 possible targets for today (Salton Sea).

This morning alone, he added 9 birds to his list. They now have the opportunity to check an extra area in the afternoon.
 
Last edited:
Andy Adcock

Andy Adcock

Well-known member
England
Vincent van der Spek said:
It's amazing that birders with the most progressive and the most conservative lists are actually neighbours, Daniel! I always learnt that the truth is usually somewhere in between. 8-P
(quite a few of the past splits are now widely adopted)
.
Click to expand...

I always used to joke with the Dutch guys that I met, that they were so liberal, they would count male and female separately!

A
 
D

DanielDoer

Well-known member
Vincent van der Spek said:
It's amazing that birders with the most progressive and the most conservative lists are actually neighbours, Daniel! I always learnt that the truth is usually somewhere in between. 8-P
(quite a few of the past splits are now widely adopted)...
Click to expand...

You are so right, Vincent! And it is quite simple: I am just jealous!!! I would like to count as many species as you , but I was born on the wrong side of the border...
But there is one point where "we" are surprisingly more liberal than you: in Germany we count C species so we have of course the Pheasant on our personal D list! And I added Alexendrine parakeet with great pleasure this autumn to my list :)
 

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