BirdForum is the net's largest birding community dedicated to wild birds and birding, and is absolutely FREE!

Register for an account to take part in lively discussions in the forum, post your pictures in the gallery and more.

Reply to thread

Message: <blockquote data-quote="johnraven" data-source="post: 1585871" data-attributes="member: 14963">The Scarce rate in East Anglia was lower than one might expect this weekend.  The actual outturns were Saturday 6 (one of which I found! - Icky in Wells Woods), Sunday 3, which are well below what my model forecast (9 and 8 respectively).  There's something missing from my analysis.  There was a decent influx on Friday afternoon (e.g. Booted, RBFlys at Blakeney, some Icky's, presumably including my one).  Then it went quiet over the weekend (although good for seabirds).  I think the airflow was better for seabirds, and not coming from Scandinavia, so few passerines.The model is firmly of the view that the next few days will be storming though.  It says...Monday: 9Tuesday: 11Wednesday: 8Thursday: 9Friday: 8This is on the assumption of no rain.  With rain, the numbers will be even higher (up to 13).John</blockquote>