A few thoughts numbered for ease of reference:-
1. “There is some limited fossil evidence of eagle owls in Britain, but this is almost entirely from before the last Ice Age, when clearly the climate and the habitat were very different and Britain was connected to the continent. Several other former breeding birds, such as cranes, appear in art and literature, yet despite its size and being considered a bird of ill omen elsewhere in Europe, eagle owls do not appear regularly in English or Celtic culture until relatively recently.”
2 points here: "almost entirely" presumably means "not entirely" - which relegates the statement to misleading and/or irrelevant. Also, I have some experience of cultural references, which lead non-birding anthropologists to state as if it were fact, that a Celtic representation of a bird is a goose, when Celts are actually known to have been keen observers and the design looks exactly like a Corncrake.
Additionally it would be instructive to see exactly how much differentiation between owl species goes on in art and literature. Worldwide pretty much all owls seem to be considered birds of ill omen so its an odd aspect to pick on unless there is skullduggery afoot.
http://www.owls.org/News/eagle_owl.htm
http://www.rspb.org.uk/ourwork/policy/species/eagleowls.asp
2. Some people have said that they should be given the benefit of the doubt (ie if there’s no obvious evidence, such as jesses, that they’re escapees they should be treated as wild birds). However I would again refer you to the RSPB statement which notes that in a 5 year period there were over 2000 applications for licenses to keep Eagle Owls. From my limited knowledge of falconry I believe a ballpark figure of 25% of birds lost or released in the first year is possible. That gives a figure of 80 escaped or released Eagle Owls in Britain per year. Obviously that figure makes no allowance for unlicensed/unregistered owls, which is probably unquantifable, but could be significant.
Lets not forget this is where our Goshawk population comes from to a very large extent (figure of 60 licensed birds escaping in one year alone, let alone unlicensed birds). Does anyone want to give the hunting fraternity the least chance to make a parallel case to eliminating Eagle Owls? Don't think so, but its this kind of water muddying that gives them a break.
3. I base that suggestion on the fact that European Eagle Owls are not migratory or even particularly nomadic, and as the RSPB note “there are relatively few eagle owls in northern France, Belgium and the Netherlands and there is little evidence that eagle owls will cross open sea.” Note that the Hawk Owl which seems better suited to a sea crossing nevertheless finds the Baltic a significant barrier.
I should like to know why the Hawk Owl is better suited to a sea crossing, and also why the comparison is not with either Short- or Long-eared Owls both of which habitually commute across the North Sea and are similar shape to Eagle Owl whereas Hawk Owl is not. This is blatantly selective use of evidence. As for migration, your statement ignores dispersal which has already been shown to be over distances up to 350km - a not insignificant distance in a European context. However I agree thre odds calculation!
4. On this thread and others about Eagle Owl people have cited Eagle Owls seen on North Sea oil rigs or in situations suggestive of natural vagrancy. If they have records like that then they really should submit them and ideally share brief details with us on Bird Forum.
Totally agree!
7. If Eagle Owls colonise naturally then I would support them 100% (in the same way as say Little Egret and Cetti’s Warbler). That happens to be the opinion expressed in the RSPB statement (contrary to comments elsewhere that the RSPB are seeking to introduce Eagle Owls or, alternatively, to have them exterminated), but please note that my only link with the RSPB is as an ordinary member.