>Poecile - So; not a comparitive control for a rare vagrant then.
well if it was a rare vagrant then it wouldn't feature and it was never a native bird then? So end of debate??
>Is that likely?
one would assume so, judging by their density in othe rparts of their range, and the fact that they shae similar diet, nesting sites and trophic level to eagles, yes. And, apparently, they're ever so common on the near continent that they're literally falling off it and into England!
>Your second point regarding Owls in art; unprovable and my understanding >subesequent to my study of history, pre-history and our interpretations of >history lead me to disagree with your conclusion.
can you tell us why you disagree, and why large predators like WTE and wolf would be so prevalent in art and folklore and organic remains, yet EO is totally absent?
>Your third point regarding the probabilities of Vagrant colonisation and
>breeding, unlikely is not the same as impossible,
yet again, someone who doesn't grasp the significance between 'possible' and 'probable'. It's possible that EO are being flown in by Glen Miller and Amy Johnson. But is it probable?
>we still don't know (with regard to European Eagle Owls) definitively.
we still don't know that Glen Miller is dead. What do you think, though? Definitively.
>I'm sorry, I fail to understand your comment regarding a failure of Little Owls
becasue it took an introduction for them to colonise, despite them being common on the adjacent continent and probably rare vagrants cf Scops Owl. I thought it was rather a good example, showing how just because an owl is common nearby, it doesn't mean that it can or will colonise without people shipping them over in crates. And LO has a much more restricted diet and lower trophic level than EO, so that old hoary chestnut is irrelevant (diet mainly insects and worms).
>I'm concerned that you appear to see eradication as the only solution to an
>essentially unproven case.
but the case against introductions (essentially or literally) of predators, especially top predators and into island ecosystems, has been proved time and time again. It's basic ecology.
>It is not proven that Eagle Owls, in low vagrant densities and possibly even
>as a rare breeder are incompatible with or do not belong within UK ecologies.
but that's not what we're talking about. We're talking about an established, permanant, expanding population. If it was just a couple of pairs and coastal wanderers, like Snowy Owls, that's different. But when it's widespread breeding leading to a relatively large feral population, that's different and significant. I'm saying that we cannot hope that they will not spread and increase, so they should be removed now. You've already accepted that the majority of them (at least) are feral, so do you think they wont expand or something? They're either 'low density vagrants' or largely increasing feral breeders. Which is it? One doesn't really matter, the other will matter.
>The control is; a study of the impacts of similar density species of similarly
>vagrant or rare species in similar habitats and ecologies or identical species >at similar densities in other areas with similar habitats and ecologies.
But we're not talking about now, when they are still rare. we're talking about when they are more abundant and therefore have the potential to have an impact once they are established. Again, this is why i want them removed now, BEFORE they can spread and have that impact. Secondly, trawl back through this thread and you will find studies looking at the impact of EO in other parts of their range. Finally, we will never have that info for the Uk until it happens, so we have to make a judgement about the risks and benefits and make some value calls as to whether to take action.
>If that's the best data that we have then it is incomplete data. I personally
>would not wish to adopt an eradication programme based upon incomplete
>data, I would prefer to accumulate enough data to enable a valid
>assessment first.
But, yet again, by then it will too late to do much about it, except at enormous cost and once damage has already been done. So all we can do is look at what we do know- that introductions of non-natives are bad (especially predators); that EO eat disproportionate numbers of raptors and owls and that these groups are already threatened in the UK and have had vast resources expended on their conservation; that EO have a wide diet and are capable of taking any native UK bird and most native UK mammals and that we do not know what impact this may have (localised or national); that EO will attack livestock (esp lambs) and can be significant predators of game (hares, grouse) and these are already sensitive flashpoints for conflict between conservationsists and landowners and a tightrope that we all have to walk if we want wldlife conservation to continue on our uplands and raptor persecution to be discouraged. On the plus side, EO look really pretty. I can't think of any more plusses to seeing them breeding in the UK.
>What known negative impacts are Eagle Owls currently proven to be >causing within UK ecologies?
none yet, because they are still in the pioneer stage. But that will only last for so long, just like it did with muntjac, mink, coypu, ruddy duck, himalayan balsam, grey squirrel, canadian pondweed...................................again, the lesson is that introductions are usually bad news for native ecology. That's why there are laws against it!