citrinella
Well-known member
I'll let you off on that thenMike – I don’t think I’m in competition with agri-environment researchers, since I work on whatever grabs my curiosity rather than following where the money leads, which is probably why I haven’t had a farthing to do research from any source these fifteen years.
I have this problem with "blame agriculture" too. However (see below) I do think there is a problem, and I want to help fix it. My problem with "blame agriculture", several actually are :My problem is not with agri-environment management per se, but with the underlying philosophy that all ills can be blamed on ‘agricultural intensification’, and that we need to create a simulacrum of the arcadia that existed immediately after WWII. This idea is so entrenched that the outcome of virtually every study is parlayed into evidence ‘in favour of’ or ‘consistent with’ the initial premise. The Hole study mentioned earlier is an example of this, as is the Peach study in the context of changes in the urban landscape.
other problem areas are being neglected, in particular the behaviour of the general population*;
land managers, key to solutions, are being alienated, rather than encouraged to help. That is one of my biggest issues with the current subsidy system. Too much money for doing too little (usually nothing), too little money for doing a better job with, worse, incredible bureaucracy. Lastly, the reservoir of knowledge within land owners is being ignored and in the current climate, dissipated - ivory tower research means office based bureaucrats know best with their checklists and menu options, too simplistic.
*No, I don't want to turn a torrent of criticism at the populace. I want to spread information and encouragement as widely as possible. A little happens, but far more could be done. When I suggested public education on the benefits of native broad leaved species in people's gardens, the then Scottish Environment Secretary said "I am a gardener and there is no way I would tolerate weeds in my garden." OKAY, he wouldn't, but that is no reason why every gardener in the country should not be fed the information and given the choice.
Hah, so science has turned up an awkward answer that you don't understand. That is what is good about science. Doctors (mind, I work in a medical research department) learnt physiology, anatomy, biochemistry, basic science and traditionally worked out wehat to do themselves. Once it appeared to work for a patient or two, they went on and proapgated it as marvellous for everybody. That was how medicine developed until quite recently when Archie Cochrane stodd up and said RUBBISH. Fortunately he has been listened too. Better science has been applied and a lot of the mechanistic ideas have been shown not to work, even to do harm. Quite often we don't understand why. Robust, large scale, randomized trials rubbish approaches which appear based on sound principles. Things are sometimes shown to work long before we can work out why.I also find the Skylark study carried out under SAFFIE to be fishy to say the least. The premise is that Skylarks have declined because of a switch to autumn sowing, which means that the crop is too high for them to nest in by spring. We will therefore create 4x4m unsown patches for them to nest in and do an experiment on 15 sites with control plots and plots with unsown patches. Lo and behold, Skylarks density is higher and nesting success greater in plots with unsown patches. Except they aren’t nesting in the patches. Never mind, it must be because of improved food availability. Except the patches are so small they can’t possibly make a difference, and anyway, how could the Skylarks have known the patch plots were going to have more food? Is it possible the higher density merely shows that the patch plots happened to be on better habitat? I ask myself how much randomisation was done, or can be done when 5 hectare plots are being used.
The SAFFIE randomisation on my farm seemed pretty good to me. Historic skylark densities were taken into account along with loads of other factors to try to minimize underlying differences between plots. For instance, one of my large fields was known to have lower densities at one end so was divided across so both plots had equal areas of high and low densities. Other fields had similar avearage densities to those plots. I was told that my farm had a bit more variation than desirable. However plot randomization was used, and across the whole UK (40 odd farms, not 15), that should have balanced out pretty well.
Sorry we have been drawn so far from the original topic. Yes, science needs to be challenged - Archie Cochrane initiated a complete (ongoing) revolution in medicine. I am quite happy with your paper (but no amount of research let alone one piece ever produces a clear cut, unequivocal answer, in science that is impossible). I am glad you are standing up to the criticism as it is important to accept that your research shows what it does. I just hope that is accepted, but it is built into a management program that accepts the influence of sparrowhawk within the wider food web, and does not attempt to destroy sparrowhawk in an attempt to distort the web.When funding is based on the premise that agricultural change destroys biodiversity, it’s essential to avoid drawing inferences that call this into question. It’s much better to do half-baked studies that produce equivocal results, which can then be spun into a favourable story. However, this is unlikely to provide a sound basis for effective management. Such equivocal outcomes also have the merit of requiring yet further research, so ensuring that the funds keep flowing, and that’s why they are so terrified of our paper. It provides a clear cut, unequivocal answer to a problem, and every time a problem is solved, a research career dies.
OK. You seem to be challenging the role of agricultural intensification in degradation of biodiversity, that the move from spring cropping to winter cropping is not harmful. I have lived on East Lothian mixed/arable farms all my life, (except two years on a farm near Dumfries), have looked at farms up and down the UK and abroad, and am astounded. The changes in agriculture have brought enormous simplification to ecosystems :If science does have a part to play in conservation on agricultural land, and I think it does, it needs to be hard-nosed science that isn’t afraid of challenging shibboleths like agricultural intensification, or indeed predation as we have done in our study. Unfortunately, the answers that such science can provide may be rather limited, so it holds no attraction for empire builders. The rest, as I suggested in the earlier post, should be down to judgment calls from the likes of yourself, suitably incentivised by results-based subsidy.
far fewer habitat types;
far fewer species;
far fewer food sources;
far less unimproved ground;
vast reduction in wet/water features;
far higher inputs of chemicals which may or may not have good sides as well as bad (I practice conventional agriculture).
These have been deliberate policies of intensification. It is not good enough to say that these effects are not linked to agri-intensification, they are how agriculture has been intensified.
Now, I see myself in the position of many doctors, astounded that the mechanistic principles they had used for so long could be proved wrong, but they were. I see cause and effect before my very eyes. Your role would be to get on and prove me wrong - please be my guest, world agribusiness surely would be delighted to make you very rich indeed, if you succeed
I am not saying that other things - urbanization including infrastructure across our rural areas being a prime example - are not important impacts on biodiversity. The challenge is to show that agri-intensification on its own is not an important impact.
Or is that not what you were suggesting ?
Mike.


