For confirmed breeding you need a conclusive breeding record but for possible or probable breeding, less than conclusive evidence is used - the criteria used bu the BTO are below - in the meantime, any other opinions on this bird? No evidence of breeding, possible, probable or confirmed?
Knocker reckons no evidence/possible breeding
Eanna reckons no evidence at all
Derek reckons confirmed
Breffni reckons probable/confirmed
Any other views out there?
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http://www.bto.org/birdatlas/taking_part/bevidence.htm
Breeding Evidence
All codes for Possible, Probable and Confirmed Breeding must relate to individuals in potentially
suitable nesting habitat.
Code F (Flying over) should only be used on Roving Records forms and not on Timed Tetrad Visits.
Non-breeding
F Flying over
M Species observed but suspected to be still on Migration
U Species observed but suspected to be sUmmering non-breeder
Possible breeder
H Species observed in breeding season in suitable nesting Habitat
S Singing male present (or breeding calls heard) in breeding season in suitable breeding habitat
Probable breeding
P Pair observed in suitable nesting habitat in breeding season
T Permanent Territory presumed through registration of territorial behaviour (song etc) on at least two different days a week or more at the same place or many individuals on one day
D Courtship and Display (judged to be in or near potential breeding habitat; be cautious with wildfowl)
N Visiting probable Nest site
A Agitated behaviour or anxiety calls from adults, suggesting probable presence of nest or young nearby
I Brood patch on adult examined in the hand, suggesting Incubation
B Nest Building or excavating nest-hole
Confirmed breeding
DD Distraction-Display or injury feigning
UN Used Nest or eggshells found (occupied or laid within period of survey)
FL Recently FLedged young (nidicolous species) or downy young (nidifugous species). Careful consideration should be given to the likely provenance of any fledged juvenile capable of significant geographical movement. Evidence of dependency on adults (e.g. feeding) is helpful. Be cautious, even if the record comes from suitable habitat.
ON Adults entering or leaving nest-site in circumstances indicating Occupied Nest (including high nests or nest holes, the contents of which can not be seen) or adults seen incubating
FF Adult carrying Faecal sac or Food for young
NE Nest containing Eggs
NY Nest with Young seen or heard