Nightranger
Senior Moment
RecoveringScot said:My pleasure. If and when you have read it, perhaps you would be good enough to report back as to whether it supports the assertion of the 'Field', and whether you still consider things to be rather so ambiguous. I'd read it myself but I can't afford the subscription at the moment. There are abstracts from several other interesting papers on Thrush ecology there. In particular one which states (from memory) that the effects of predation are still unclear.
In addition I am unsure, from the abstract, of the precise meaning of 'spatial variation'.
Phil
Hi Phil,
I did read the paper from Anthony's original reference but Tim already anticipated any possible reply by pointing out that the paper referred to nesting success and not population declines. As I pointed out elsewhere on this thread, magpies mainly predate nests when they have young of their own. This actually coincides with the middle broods of thrushes and blackbirds and not early and late broods. Now it is very important to realise that no one is saying that early and late broods are not predated merely that they are not systematically removed. The paper was therefore legitimate in indicating that predation pressure is important when considered in the light of breeding success but it is not possible to apply the same datasets to population declines for the reasons I have given. Indeed, that requires a totally separate study and this is what one of the co-authors was involved in. In fact, I found the relevant paper almost immediately with the help of a colleage because the co-author came up on a library search straight away. Anthony is partly right, it could be applied to other species within reason so his interpretation is correct but the conclusion is that it is irrelevant in the light of population trends.
Anthony, if it well be helpful, have a look at the paper I quoted and you will notice that the methods are totally different because of the very different requirements of the studies.
Ian